SI produces commissioned and non-commissioned reports that provide both proprietary and/or unique insights into the business, religious, policy and historic imperatives executives must know about doing business in the MENA and Gulf regions.
Navigating Uncertainty In Iran & the Gulf:
Emerging Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for International Business
Rapidly changing dynamics in the Middle East is increasing both risk and opportunities for companies seeking to establish or expand their footprint in the region. Strategic Intelligentia’s publicly available business intelligence and security report “Navigating Uncertainty In Iran & the Gulf: Emerging Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for International Business”, includes proprietary information and analysis, much of which does not exist in the public domain and provides the essential information and in-depth analysis businesses need to make sound investment decisions in a time of unprecedented change.
As opposed to traditional risk reports that makes generic security assessments with a standard methodology applied across different regions, Navigating Uncertainty In Iran & the Gulf: Emerging Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for International Business comes from a strategic vantage point with deep policy expertise in the Middle East, including insights from current and ex-policy officials, and intelligence assessments from US, European and Middle Eastern defence and security officials that identify security trends, risks and opportunities in the Gulf.
Further proprietary information is included, based upon a market research survey conducted by the Middle East Association, and provides further insight into the interests and concerns of over 300 medium- to large-sized companies assessing their interests and concerns in the region.
Navigating Uncertainty In Iran & the Gulf: Emerging Trends, Risks, and Opportunities for International Business addresses the following critical risks and opportunities:
Sectarianism and Proxy Warfare - IS rapid advances in Iraq and heightened sectarian tensions in both Iraq and Syria may soon have reverberations in the Gulf. Proxy warfare between Saudi Arabia and Iran is increasing, while Syria’s civil war has spilled over into Lebanon, Jordan, and Iraq.
Spill Over Across Borders - The proxy warfare between Saudi Arabia and Iran is spiralling out of control. Syria’s civil war has spilled over into Lebanon, Jordan, and Iraq. Saudi troops have gathered on the border with Iraq to counter the threat faced from IS.
Sanctions & Breakdown of Negotiations - If negotiations between Iran and the West falter Iranian sanctions could be increased. Nuclear negotiations are likely to affect markets and the ability to import, export and sell within the region. In the event of a collapse in negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 group of countries the report assesses the likely impact in Iran and within GCC states.
Prospects For Increased Trade with Iran - Trade delegations from the UAE have visited Iran while the rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran has picked up momentum. The report assesses whether companies operating in Iran will find themselves in the crosshairs of sanctions. Any US rapprochement with Iran on its nuclear program, or reaching out to Iran as it endeavours to stabilise Iraq, may lead the US scaling back its sanctions against Iranian. This would attract international investment in Gulf States and result uninhibited access to the Iranian market in some sectors.
Opportunities in the Gulf - Any US rapprochement with Iran on its nuclear program, or reaching out to Iran to stabilise Iraq may lead the US to scale back Iranian sanctions. This will attract international investment in Gulf States and uninhibited access to the Iranian market in some sectors.
Risks in the Gulf - Leading Intelligence, defence and security officials offer their insights into the likelihood of Israel taking matters into its own hands militarily against Iran Saudi Arabia pursuing its own ‘nuclear option’, divisions within the GCC states and more. Meanwhile, as Saudi Arabia amasses troops on the Iraqi border to counter the threat from the ‘Islamic State’ (ISIS/ISIL), civil war rages in Syria and sectarianism continues to spiral across the Middle East, what are the short, medium and long-term risks facing the Gulf?
Impact of Nuclear Iran - Leading Intelligence, defence and security officials offer proprietary analysis on whether GCC states will allow Iran to go nuclear? What will be the impact on the security and economic landscape if Iran attains or relinquishes the nuclear status? Scenarios considered include: Iran's usage of proxies to strike Israel and the GCC states; impact on energy prices and an upsurge of tensions in Iraq and Syria.
US Security Guarantee in the Gulf - With US attention shifting towards Asia, the report offers unique scenarios considering increasing tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia in Syria, Iraq and the Gulf.
China and Russia Entering the Gulf – A growing US void in the region could mean an emerging role for China and Russia. The report considers why it will be in the interest of GCC states to diversify trade partners.
Military Option - Insights of leading Intelligence, defence and security officials regarding the likelihood and feasibility of a military operation against Iran’s nuclear programme by either Israel or the US in the short, medium and long term.
Willingness of US or Israel to Strike Iran - Contributions by leading US officials and analysts on potential trigger events that could impact on the calculus of either Israel or the US. The report considers the willingness of the Obama administration to resort to the use of force if diplomatic efforts are exhausted.
Key sectors that will benefit from the information in this report include oil and gas, banking, finance, insurance, defence, infrastructure and other related industries.
Commissioned Bespoke Reports - Proprietary Information and Analysis
Strategic Intelligentia produces bespoke business intelligence reports offering proprietary information, analysis and intelligence on potential scenarios that can impact on the security and investment climate in the Gulf. How will it affect financial and energy markets and the interests of industries that are entering, seeking to expand or exiting the region?
To request a bespoke commissioned report click here.